FIVE HORIZONS

← Horizon Map

Where consensus sits across the five AI futures we track. Three dots per horizon: optimistic, pragmatic, sceptical. The horizontal axis is non-uniform: the NEAR zone gets per-year detail because that's where real decisions get made; MID and FAR zones collapse to bands because forecasting precision a decade out is dishonest; INDEFINITE (far right) holds claims that may not happen this generation.

Hover a row name for a crisp definition of that horizon (AGI is contested — follow the to the debate). Hover a dot for the full stance and its implication.

The view is dynamic: the axis anchors to the current year, so zones slide forward as time passes (what's NEAR today becomes MID next year). Horizon shifts land here as the bot narrates each update in the ticker below and as ghost dots + arrows on any row whose stance has moved in the last 30 days.

This month: Agentic Work optimistic band change; Agentic Work pragmatic band change; Agentic Work sceptical band change; + 12 more.

Five Horizons chartArrival-year forecasts for five AI futures (AGI, Agentic Work, Robotics, Software Automation, Education Disruption) across three worldviews (optimistic, pragmatic, sceptical). Plotted on a non-uniform banded axis.nearmidfarindefiniteVibe codingDeepSeek-R1202620272028202920302031-20352036+???AGIAGENTICROBOTSSW AUTOEDUCATION
optimisticpragmaticscepticalghost dot + drift arrow = change in last 30 daysindefinite (no year)
recent drift
Agentic Work optimistic Agentic Work pragmatic Agentic Work sceptical AGI optimistic AGI pragmatic AGI sceptical Education Disruption optimistic Education Disruption pragmatic Education Disruption sceptical Robotics optimistic Robotics pragmatic Robotics sceptical Software Automation optimistic Software Automation pragmatic Software Automation sceptical
← Back to Horizon Map Data: src/data/horizon/scenarios.json · Bot-enriched drift since 2026-03-25